Euro Notes from the Baltics
From the desk of Elaib Harvey on Mon, 2005-11-28 12:13
Further to my report in October it seems that the luminaries of the Baltic states are still living in cloud cuckoo land.
In Estonia Finance Minister Aiver Sõerd says in today’s Äripäev: “Both, the state as well as private business must continue with the aim to be fully prepared to adopt the euro from the beginning of 2007.” The hectoring tone might be understandable when you remember that the latest opinion polls put opposition to the Euro at 48% and support at 47%. As Matthew Lynn at Bloomberg states:
In Estonia, a poll showed more than half the population opposed euro membership, according to an AFP report last week. And only 38 percent of people in the 10 new countries expect “positive consequences” from the euro, down 6 points from last year, according to a European Commission report last week.
Quite reasonably, many analysts have concluded that eastern European leaders aren’t planning to walk up this particular aisle. “The EU attracted accession states on account of the relative prosperity it enjoyed through the 1990s,” said Stephen Lewis, chief economist at Monument Securities Ltd. in London, in a note to investors. “More recently, the euro zone has, rightly or wrongly, become a byword for economic stagnation. It is not surprising, therefore, that the forward momentum of European integration has been lost.”