Duly Noted: Is Godot Coming?

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George Handlery about the week that was. Aggressors exploit pacifists. Rockets and reputations. Freedom can still have a price. The price of popularity. “We are all migrants” and its implications. Integration by government policy: who is adjusting and to what?

1. If no one wants war and therefore, all are determined to do their outmost to avoid one then, the party that does not recoil from bloodshed has an advantage. Prior to the conflict it is willing to accept, its threats will produce political concessions that will improve its chances once the guns speak. Furthermore, it will be prepared for war while its chosen opponents will be less ready physically and mentally. It is likely that preparations for the worst had been intentionally avoided by doctrinaire pacifists. Demonstrative unpreparedness is thought to prove “good will” and “trust”. Preparation does not only involve having physical means but also includes the will to throw all one has into the struggle. Lastly, the swaggering conflict oriented power that faces a herd of sheep will be able to choose the time and the conditions under which the fists do the speaking.

2. Some time ago, realism has made this writer to mention the probability that Washington will drop the missile defense project designed to shield Europe. Now that it happened, we are witnessing an event that is presently only a run-of-the-mill news item. It is likely to be rated as a major affair in view of what will happen in the future. Russia’s Eastern Europe policies made her oppose the project with all her means. A reasonable exchange for canceling would have been Moscow’s effective support of sanctions to make Iran abandon her nuclear project. After all, that venture provoked the planned missile defense. So far, this is not happening. Canceling an unserious Russian project to deploy rockets in western enclave of Kaliningrad/Königsberg is meaningless. The missiles there would have protected Russia against what? In short: their purpose was to serve as a psychological lever against Western defense plans and also as an excuse to justify US retreat. The newest is that the Kremlin is not even willing to cooperate in creating in southern Russia a joint missile defense against Iran. Russia has even communicated that in her view the non-stationing does not represent a concession. The return to be expected for nothing is zero. While the mindless and security-deluded Western public will hardly care about the retreat, nevertheless, two potentially damaging conclusion emerge. The West’s defense requires the approval of those whose comportment make it necessary. Furthermore, again the US has been proven an unreliable ally. In this instance of exposed countries that were willing to provoke near-bye Russia so as to cooperate due to their shared interests with America.

3. Italy is shocked that its soldiers are killed in action in Afghanistan. The population’s reaction reveals the current softness of the West. Again, as in the election that gave power to Zapatero in Spain, the anger is not directed against the terrorism of the enemy. In the political arena, the grief takes the form of criticizing the government and that culminates in the demand for a withdrawal. The inconsistency does not carry a specifically Italian fingerprint. Also Germany is reacting in similar terms to the costs of an undersized participation in the conflict. The terrorists’ threatened punishment for voting “wrong” in the coming election support the inclination. It seems that some claim to want to defend their civilization while their commitment to that project is weakened by relativism. So guaranteed loss-free engagements are demanded. Preferably, they are to involve no greater risk than the troops face during the march-bye of an honor formation remembering a national holiday. Such events might celebrate with heroic words an independence that more are willing to commemorate by participating in a work-free holiday than to defend.

4. Every fallen soldier involves an entire community and a human tragedy that is avoidable in an ideal world. On the other hand, it is frightening to see how a small number lost to a still ragtag fanatical enemy that is active far away, can convince majorities to withdraw their contribution to the only course of action that can effectively combat global terror.

5. Iran’s tactic in the nuclear matter is gaining additional contours. At best, Iran is willing to negotiate about talks. The agenda is to be of its choosing, meaning that the bomb-project, which tops the concerns of the other parties, is not to be discussed. The slogan seems to be “let us discuss your bombs, not ours”. The UN had reassured us that it would take time for Iran to get the bomb it claims it is not seeking. Meanwhile, trying to conduct talks about negotiations provides time to exploit opportunities. Some have waited for Godot. He did not come. This Godot will report in with a big bang. What are we waiting for?

6. Obama is popular in Europe. In America this is considered to be an achievement. Here Obamia is the case even in circles that would reject the original’s local equivalent. This popularity is earned by a willingness to withdraw by the means of small surrenders from a role that is essential for world peace. This role also represents a status that in the past, nations such as Germany and France, would have loved to play on a permanent basis.

7. China is separated from being a recognized world power because. While her economic performance impresses, her system of government strikes one as repulsive.

8. Ms Longoria who is reputed to have attractive features, is probably not about to become famous for her reasoned views. Her analytical assessment, the core of which is that “historically everyone has immigrated”, happens to be essentially correct. Her implied conclusions are, however, less than waterproof. With the statement, she intended to equate the rights of those that are already residing in coveted regions with the rights of those that want to join them there uninvited.

Let us begin at the beginning – which is always a good place to start. If everyone has immigrated and this is to be a criteria then, of course, rights claimed under entitlements extended as in “native American”, or aboriginal in Australia are to be dismissed as invalid demands. This is obviously not what fashionable Ms Longoria had in mind. The implied support for uncontrolled immigration might sound good if you have not yet arrived. It becomes less attractive in case you are already where you wish to be and, furthermore, once there you are making it on your own and not on welfare. If all are to be allowed to go and settle anywhere they desire then the movement of people from advanced countries, let us call it the North, to the South is not to be opposed either. Certainly, such a process should not be called now that, applied to the past, is labeled as “imperialism”. If everyone can go without the consent of the local “squatters” then, the reaction of the temporarily indigenous – the less mobile of recent centuries – should still be given some consideration.

Furthermore, the principle, if extended, opens fascinating implications regarding the right to move into other already occupied spaces. Such as houses. This is probably the point at which Ms Longoria of would be inclined to draw a thick red line around Wisteria Lane.

9. Some letter-to-the-editor writers manage in a few lines to express fundamentals with a greater punch than many long studies can. The background of this one is that religion as a school subject is replaced with a non-denominational “Religion, Culture and Ethics” project. The plan aims to integrate the children of traditional residents with new Muslim immigrants. The writer happens to have visited a culturally attractive church. Apparently, the aforementioned program also brought a school class there. The children were made to enter the chapel. The writer noted that two kids stayed put before the entrance. To his question why they stayed outside, they responded that they just happen to have “another” religion. They are Muslims. He then told them that in the past, albeit not a Muslim, being curious, he has visited Islam’s places of worship. The argument did not impress the teens. The writer’s concluded  ”How is integration to be achieved if Muslim parents forbid their children even /sight-seeing/ visits of Christian churches.  In addition, how can the project work when the school does not dare to implement its duty to enlighten even non-Christian students about Western culture”? Indeed, some integration projects seem to focus on teaching majorities to accept their way of life’s rejection by immigrants.

 

 

 

Another blind(ed) relativist

It may not be 'nice', but it needs to be said.  'Reconciler' strikes me as another German who, like many of his ancestors two generations ago, doesn't seem to care about a "repulsive" system of government.  As long as they make the trains run on time....he'll be impressed.

"The only significant difference between China's government and those of the Western bloc..." he writes.   Mein Gott, besides the illusion of belief in a "Western bloc", how is it possible that one can go through the contemporary German (Western) education sytem, and write this kind of stuff?!    The Politbureau knows what new ideology is needed to impress young Chinese, but apparently it works on young Westerners as well...again. 

 

Eyes Rolling

Reconciler: All of my chinese students here in Wuhan are the most optimistic, forward-looking, patriotic people I have ever met.

 

An ESL teacher; that's all we need...

 

There's only one reason ESL teachers go to East Asia...the bar-scene not working out back home?

 

 

Re

"7. China is separated from being a recognized world power because. While her economic performance impresses, her system of government strikes one as repulsive."

China is indeed a recognized world power. "Her" Economic performance is in tune with her military and politico-diplomatic power. Growing and growing... The only significant difference between Chinas government and those of the western bloc is that the KPC delivers the goods while western governments loose shipments, lie about what's being shipped, fill their own pockets or get their stagecoaches raided by thugs at every other corner.

Switch on your TVs these days and tune in to CCTV if you can. That is what I call identity. Make no mistake, it's not all just propaganda. All of my chinese students here in Wuhan are the most optimistic, forward-looking, patriotic people I have ever met. They know how their government works, how large corruption is. But they still have the capacity to see how many things their leaders do right.

RE: 5 - Reprise

Apologists and pacifists can no longer give Iran the benefit of the doubt.  The latest series of missile tests shatter any credibility that re-interpretations or translations of Ahmadinejad's speeches, allegations of document falsification or support for civilian nuclear sovereignty lent Iran, if any.

 

Iran could take the Libyan path and benefit, however, it has chosen to follow the North Korean playbook.  Iran's aggressive rhetoric, development and testing of offensive ballistic missiles, secret uranium-enrichment facilities and active support of terrorism in the absence of a threat can no longer be ignored. 

 

The window for diplomacy is shrinking rapidly.  The onus is on Iran to prove its peaceful intentions and compliance with the IAEA and the UN, and adherence to the NPT. 

@KO & marcfrans RE: 4

In the main, I concur with you KO.  Unfortunately, in addition to naïveté, the Bush administration decided to develop and reconstruct both Afghanistan and Iraq in order to appease opponents of the war.  I also agree with much of marcfrans' reply.  The notion of "combating global terrorism" is as ludicrous to me as a "war on war" is.  Those Western European countries with significant Muslim minorities need not look to the battlefields of Central-South Asia or Mesopotamia, although it is unlikely that France would ever request military assistance to re-occupy its notorious banlieues.  All the United States and its willing allies can do is maintenance.  As the problem is Islam, not Islamism, militancy is only the proverbial tip of the iceberg, and lopping it off from time to time does nothing for the mass beneath the surface. 

 

Perhaps the fear of combat deaths is individualism run amok.  The individual is now too important to die for a cause, to have children, to save for the future, to contribute to his or her community or to be a member of something larger than his or herself.  Every time a tank accidentally rolls backwards and squashes a soldier, a dozen generals must convene for an inquiry...

Separationist strategy

@ KO

I agree with you that a separationist strategy would make more sense than the current 'nationbuilding' efforts, especially from the perspective of those countries who are actually doing the fighting against radical islam.   At the same time, Mr Handlery has not really pronounced on the relative merits of either strategy. His complaint under point 4 was essentially about the impact of small losses on the steadfastness of Western publics  to do their share in combating global terrorism.  Presumably, the separationist strategy would be much less costly than the nationbuilding efforts but, at a minimum, it would still involve "small losses".  Mr Handlery's complaint is about a lack of backbone, not about any particular strategy.  It would be interesting to know his views on the ideas of Lawrence Auster. 

Also, I suspect that many Western publics would be even less tolerant of small losses associated with a separationist strategy than with the current strategy.  Things will probably have to get much worse before these publics will develop a backbone.  Based on past historical experience, I expect things to get much worse in the coming years and that (at least some of) these publics will develop a backbone in the end.         

@marcfrans

Thank you for your reply. You are quite correct regarding Mr. Handlery's point and his not specifically evaluating separationism vs. engagement. I took the opportunity to hold forth and to poll readers on their interest in this view of the current phase of the long-standing Islamic-Western conflict.

Re Duly Noted 4

4. Re "the only course of action that can effectively combat global terror": I can't agree that costly nation-building and unrequited hand-holding in Iraq and Afghanistan or any other location are the only way to fight the war against anti-Western Islamic terrorism, aka Islam. In fact, those are probably doomed strategies because they ultimately depend on the conversion of Muslims to liberalism, which is highly unlikely. The more effective way to combat the jihad is to destroy the jihadists' capacity for waging it wherever such capacity appears. There are two prongs to this: Militarily, attack and destroy any accumulation of power directed against the West, then withdraw without engaging the Muslims politically. As Lawrence Auster has said in his discussions of "Separationism," an attack or invasion at intervals of several years will be much cheaper and more effective than futile nation-building. Civilly, disengage from and isolate the Muslim world. Eliminate and reverse immigration, including student and tourist immigration. Reduce trade to zero. Subject Muslim organizations to surveillance and prosecution. By disengaging from the Muslim world and eliminating Muslims from the West, Westerners will greatly reduce the ability of Muslims to wage jihad.

As it is, Muslims pay no price for their hostility to the West. Only when they have to pay a steep price will they even consider relinquishing that hostility.

The contrast between the Separationist strategy and what Western countries are actually doing reveals that Western governments do not take jihad seriously and actually despise Muslims as impotent Third Worlders who cannot really affect the West. That is a dangerous delusion based on the fact that liberalism does not attach any importance to Western culture or peoples and therefore does not see their destruction by jihad as a real threat. Contrary to its tactical multiculturalism, liberalism views religion and culture as a set of indistinguishable bad practices and philosophical untruths. Liberalism does not understand its own indispensable cultural infrastructure.

RE: Duly Noted

RE:

 

2.  The cancellation of the ABM sites in Central Europe had more to do with cost savings than appeasing Russian demands.  The plan for the US Navy to provide missile defense with Aegis-equipped warships is superior.  These mobile ABM systems be deployed within 500 km of missile launch sites, targeting multi-stage missiles in the first few seconds of flight at 5,000 km/hr with a massive infra-red signature.  Other ABM initiatives target missiles minutes before impact when they are small warheads surrounded by decoys and traveling at 40,000 km/hr.  Moreover, this naval ABM system could be deployed in the Persian Gulf and the South China Sea.  The United States has not betrayed East-Central Europe by cancelling the initiative; popular opinion was opposed to it, and Warsaw was only interested in Patriot missiles and upgrades to its air defense systems. 

 

3.  Sad but true.

 

4.  Indeed.  War is a numbers game.

 

5.  We will have to see whether Iran complies with IAEA and UN regulations by providing immediate and unfettered access to the new facilities near Qom. 

 

7. China is a recognized Great Power.

 

8.  Much as the Turks in Germany demand that their co-ethnics be permitted to flood the country, access its benefits and opportunities, and live above the law and culture, Hispanics in the United States do the same. 

 

 

9.  Duly noted.