Why Europe Needs a Hard Power Reality Check

Europeans are hoping a new European Union treaty will help raise their profile in international affairs. But unless European elites bring their postmodern fantasies about the illegitimacy of military “hard power” into line with the way the rest of the world interprets reality, Europe is unlikely to have much of a global voice at all.

Indeed, after years of overselling the efficacy of diplomatic and economic “soft power” as the elixir for the world’s problems, Europeans have been left wanting, both at home and abroad.

Most Europeans will admit that their halfhearted performance in Afghanistan has been less than spectacular, even embarrassing in the case of Spain. And in Lebanon, the European-led United Nations peacekeeping mission that was to have cemented Europe’s role as an impartial actor in the Middle East is now the main protector of the Hezbollah militias it was sent to monitor.

Three years of European soft power diplomacy has not persuaded Iran to abandon what Europeans admit is a clandestine nuclear-weapons program. If anything, Iran has been emboldened by European equivocation. At the same time, China and Russia, expert practitioners of power politics, continue to pursue aggressive trade and energy policies vis-à-vis Europe with evident impunity.

Meanwhile, the European effort to construct an anti-hegemonic coalition to counter-balance American power seems to have been swept into the dustbin of history. Four years ago, what short-sighted Europeans feared most was a swift American military victory in Iraq that would magnify the preponderance of US power and influence on the world stage. But the American humiliation in Iraq deflated Europe’s bipolar ambitions.

Now the future of the entire Middle East is at stake, and Europeans have no meaningful role in the process. Initiatives by European policy analysts to provide America with advice on Iraq, however well-intentioned, are certain to ring hollow in Washington.
Some Europeans are hoping that the next American president will adopt a more post-modern European perception of reality. But doing so would be a big mistake – American elites of all political stripes understand the vital role that “hard power” plays in securing US strategic interests. Many of them are also growing impatient with Europe’s inability or unwillingness to follow through on even the most basic of its transatlantic commitments. Listen to US presidential candidates talk about foreign policy, and one hears hardly a word about Europe. For them, the future is with Asia.

Everyone knows that Europe cannot guarantee its own security, much less guarantee the security of others. The United States will continue to be the main guarantor of European security for well into the foreseeable future, even if reflexively anti-American European elites wish it were not so. By pretending that Europe can go it alone, Europeans are damaging their credibility, and not just in the eyes of Americans.

It is time for Europeans to realign their ambitions with reality. A good first step would be to acknowledge that the ability to back up “soft power” with the credible threat of “hard power” still makes a very big difference in a world where nation-states remain as strong as ever.

The leaders of France and Germany, the two countries on the European mainland that factor most in the American strategic calculus, appear to be moving in this direction. They also seem to recognize that European “soft power” detached from America’s “hard power” is not enough for a Europe to maintain (much less increase) its global influence.

As committed Atlanticists have been saying all along, a strong America and a strong transatlantic relationship will increase – not decrease – Europe’s position on the global stage. And when that happens, both Europeans and Americans are set to win.

@ Armor

You might find the following newspaper article educational.

 

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/pages/live/articles/columnists.html?in_page_id=489557&in_page_id=1772&in_author_id=244

 

Quote: How difficult it is to write about immigration without being misrepresented...

 

Title: I'm all for planned immigration.But what worries me is whether a country that is still recognisably British will survive in 50 years

 

by Stephen Glover.

If the link doesn't work:

www.dailymail.co.uk/

Access: Columnists

Access: Stephen Glover

True American Idol

Who?

 

Although an official genealogy has not yet been completed,there is evidence that his heritage includes Welsh,English,Scottish,Irish,French,Dutch,German and Jewish ancestry.His great-great grandparents were William Mansell and Morning Dove White who was a full blood Cherokee indian,which would make him 1/16 Cherokee.His surname was Anglicized from the German Pressler during the Civil War.His ancestor Johanin Valentin Pressler emigrated to North America in 1710.Pressler first settled in New York,but later moved to the South.There is even a possibility that he was distantly related to Oprah Winfrey.

 

Answer: Elvis Presley.

Mixed bag

@ Altoids

Michael Steele is from the state of Maryland, not New Jersey. 

Telling Armor to save his sneers for "someone who gives a damn", suggests that you don't give a damn.  That tends to undercut the power of whatever 'arguments' you are trying to make.

@ Atheling

'Bollekeboy' has written a long paragraph to explain in what specific sense he thinks that Americans (today) are "more European" than modern Europeans are.   He uses the term "European" in an historical/cultural sense, whereas you are using it in a geographic sense.  So, I think there is no real difference between you and him.  And, of course, your abhorrence of Armor's manifest racism and your insistence on a distinctive American culture today, are very 'modern American'. 

 

@pvdh

 

So, you think that you "have always considered myself to be SIMPLY ME".   As if you were a fully-formed individual that suddenly dropped from the sky, independent of any cultural societal context that helped "form" you.   It is strange that you, the naive-leftie intellectual, would take the extreme 'individualistic'  position on a purported 'conservative' blog.   Since you seem to be unaware, or at least not fully cognisant, of the cultural determinants of your "me", it is no surprise that you are not much concerned about preserving the underlying culture that 'made' you.    Genuine 'conservatives' know better.  They know (but can not fully fathom) who it is that made you physically, they also realise that 'culture' was used to help form you spiritually, and they know that cultures change over time (which is the real subject here under the guise of the terms "European and American").   

@Marshfranc

Marshfranc: " Armor's manifest racism "

If you are not ready to be displaced, you are called a racist by the extreme left!
Unless you are Mexican, Moroccan, African, Turkish, ... or any other nationality outside the western world.

@Armor

Your rudeness to marcfrans is uncalled for.

If you can't refrain from that kind of low-level pettiness, then don't bother posting at all.

Secondly, your rudeness and immaturity certainly says something about your "culture", doesn't it? Is that "hard wired" into you based on your "national identity"?

@Altoids

"I'm not of European descent. I am of Chinese ancestry (...) At my university, more people study Chinese than French. I vote. Welcome to the future."

So, what's your take? Do you say that fewer whites in America is a good thing, in spite of what most of them think? Do you say it is good for diversity? Or do you think that America is not really changing, since you are perfectly assimilated and don't care at all about your own ancestors?
By the way, what do you think would be the right proportion of whites in the United States? Do you think they should be allowed to live in separate areas?

RE: Armor

Thank you for your questions.

I've already said what I think America is, and I have no problems with managed, legal immigration. I absolutely oppose all illegal immigration. This is not a question of identity or race or demographics, but one of respect for national sovereignty. Border control is one of the basic prerogatives any nation.

So, what's your take? Do you say that fewer whites in America is a good thing, in spite of what most of them think? Do you say it is good for diversity? Or do you think that America is not really changing...

My main objection to your line of questioning is that you believe ethnicity cannot be separated from national identity. This is true for most countries, but not the United States. The ethnic composition and even the culture of America can change, but these things are not integral to the idea of America. American ideals are civic virtues - freedom of speech, the right to bear arms, equal opportunity, trial by peers, and limited representative government. The integrity of America is intact and has not changed.

...since you are perfectly assimilated and don't care at all about your own ancestors?

In one sense I am perfectly assimilated - I understand my rights and obligations as an American citizen, and I actively participate in choosing the leadership of this country. However, my Chinese cultural roots are undiluted. I am, of course, fluent in Chinese, and familiar with the Chinese classics. As the eldest son, I fully intend to fulfill my cultural obligations to my parents. Your assumption that because I am adapted to American life means that I "don't care at all" about my ancestors shows you have a false perception of American identity.

By the way, what do you think would be the right proportion of whites in the United States? Do you think they should be allowed to live in separate areas?

This question makes no sense. There is no "right" proportion, and the ethnic composition of the population varies widely based on geographic region. Americans are free to move to wherever their economic means will allow.

proposition nation

"My main objection to your line of questioning is that you believe ethnicity cannot be separated from national identity. This is true for most countries, but not the United States. The ethnic composition and even the culture of America can change, but these things are not integral to the idea of America. American ideals are civic virtues - freedom of speech, the right to bear arms, equal opportunity, trial by peers, and limited representative government. The integrity of America is intact and has not changed."

Maybe you really believe this. Maybe that is what you learned at school. But that ideology has developped only recently and has little to do with reality. We hear the same kind of rhetoric about what it means to be French or British or Belgian.

Google "proposition nation" and you will see that that kind of rhetoric is not unique to the USA. It was used in France following the 1789 revolution.

@altoids

Atlanticist: As a Bostonian,God Bless America,and God Bless the Red Sox!

 

As an Englishman with proud Irish ancestry,an Atlanticist and a supporter of the NY Yankees,can we still be friends?

@BollekeBoy

Armor is opposed to uncontrolled mass immigration into Europe and the USA (who isn't?),but everything else he has to say on the issue is tangential, unadulterated extraneous piffle.Period.

What is a European?

I don't want to agree with Armor on anything, but maybe Americans are European in a certain way. We are a former British colony, and that should never be forgotten or marginalized. The British think of themselves as different from the people on the Continent, and they are. The ideas of representative government, individual human rights, and the rule of law were born in England. They were then exported around the globe by the British Empire. The American founding fathers were British citizens, born and bred, who took those ideas a little farther than the government back in the mother country.
We then had mass immigration from many continental nations, including some of my own ancestors from Germany. They brought many of their cultural traditions with them, but wanted to leave oppression behind. In other words they came to America to live under our form of government, which was based on British tradition. The most important thing these immigrants did maintain from the old country was their Christianity. Our British inheritance and our Judeo/Christian inheritance our the bedrock on which the American nation was built, and they were both imported from Europe. Today these traditions are better maintained in America than they are in Europe. The U.K. is being ever more integrated into the E.U. and socialism has replaced Christianity as the 'opiate of the masses' on much of the Continent. So, I would argue that Americans are in fact more European than modern Europeans are. What does everybody think?

Identity crisis?

"I don't want to agree with Armor on anything, but maybe Americans are European in a certain way."

An Identity crisis I presume? It’s funny I’ve always considered myself to be simply me. But now there seems to be more to that then that, considering all the time and effort you guys put on the questions “Am I who I am?” or “Am I we?", and "Who or we anyway?” Probably the deeper philosophy I don’t get. I’m working on it!

WERE, not ARE

Initially, Americans WERE European immigrants, who left the continent for a NEW identity: Americans.

However, there are many other Americans from other continents, and America has NEVER been, nor shall ever be, European.

So I don't see an "identity crisis", except for some Euros' odd perceptions of Americans.

@BollekeBoy

I have no problem when you talk in terms of culture, tradition, ideals and history.

But what Armor is talking about is color of skin, racial characteristics, etc... It galls him that Americans (and Europeans) are changing physically, not whether the immigrants are assimilating culturally.

That's offensive.

offensive

Atheling: "It galls him that Americans (and Europeans) are changing physically, not whether the immigrants are assimilating culturally."

You are right. And every sane person on the earth feels the same way I do. Try to organize white immigration to Mexico so that Mexicans will "change physically". How do you think Mexicans will react? Tell them that people replacement doesn't matter as long as the culture is preserved. They will say you are crazy.

What is really your view on assimilation? Do you prefer diversity or assimilation? Maybe you haven't decided yet? I don't think that supporters of immigration honestly believe in the magical power of cultural assimilation. At a superficial level, you can learn the culture and language of another people, but you cannot change your own nature, your tastes, and other instincts that affect your behavior. What makes us different from other people is not only our culture and the way we look, it is also our behavior, which is partly hard-wired in our genes. And the culture of a nation is largely influenced by its national temperament, which is hereditary.

To sum up my opinion: I think that a Chinese or European baby adopted by an African Pigmy tribe would not behave exactly like a Pigmy when he becomes an adult. If you replaced every Pigmy baby with a Chinese or European baby, you would obtain a new people with a completely different culture.

Another point: I suppose you can say that "Americans (and Europeans) are changing physically", in that they are being replaced by other races. But it is just that: a wholesale population replacement. Individually, no one has been observed to switch to another race. The new "Americans" and the old "Americans" are not the same people. Only the label doesn't change.

"That's offensive."

There is a double standard here. We are told that population replacement is all right in European countries, but not anywhere else.

--
The idea that America is not a European country is absurd. Frank Lee may defend this idea because he thinks Europeans are rude and pesky... But more often, I suspect what's hiding behind this theory is support for mass immigration.

@Armor

"What is really your view on assimilation? Do you prefer diversity or assimilation?"

If you ever read any of my comments here starting a year ago, you would be able to surmise that I am for assimilation.

I expect all LEGAL immigrants (I support deportation for all illegals, btw), to learn English, understand our rights and duties based on the Constitution, participate in civic affairs, obey the law, and become patriotic Americans.

At this juncture in American history, I am also for wholesale cessation of all immigration for a while, because we have too many illegals here and we are also facing homeland terrorism. Shut the borders, sort out what we have, kick the illegals and terrorists out. That's what I'd love to see. On September 10, 2001, I was a patriot. On September 11, 2001, I became a fanatic.

" I don't think that supporters of immigration honestly believe in the magical power of cultural assimilation"

That's a rather stupid statement. My mother emigrated to this country and assimilated beautifully. She is more patriotic than many native born Americans, to their shame.

The rest of your blathering is just that: garbage.

RE: atheling, armor, atlanticist

Atheling: 

I think the election of Bobby Jindal is great - the Republican party needs to effectively attract upwardly-mobile minorities, using candidates like Jindal and Steele (of NJ). The sooner minority voters realize that the "diversity" of the Democratic party is simply white guilt/paternalism/blatant exploitation, the better. 

Armor:

 

Save your sophisticated Continental sneers for someone who gives a damn.  Having your assumptions directly contradicted must hurt, eh?

Atlanticist: As a Bostonian, God Bless America, and God Bless the Red Sox!

@Frank

You'll have to forgive me.You are right,of course,but we Atlanticists have to tread warily,lest we offend the Armors of this world.Which reminds me...

 

@Armor

 

Let's see,Armor + Eskimos.On second thoughts, maybe you are not related to Napoleon afterall.Maybe I should have been thinking of Nell.That would be Nell Gwyn,of course.

kinship etc

I have to agree with Atheling here.

Although I am of "European descent", I feel much more kinship with Asians in Canada than with Europeans. Asian culture is making inroads everywhere in Canada, and Asians (meaning Chinese, Vietnamese, Hong Kong, Indians) are visibly very successful in professional and business spheres.

Europe is being eclipsed in all ways. Sad, but true. I think Europe is simply out of steam. Certainly "Old Europe" seems to be anyway.

@Atlanticist

Calling someone "hot" is never off-topic.  Saying "God bless America!" is never off-topic either, and who care's if it is un-PC?

@Atlanticist

It is now your turn to make a big revelation about yourself.
What are you? an Eskimo?

@ Atheling

"That ought to put Armor's panties in a wad".

 

Don't be too sure.It wouldn't surprise me to learn that Armor is the half-brother of Yitzhak,a distant cousin of Amsterdamsky with a French Grandfather whose direct lineage can be traced back to Napoleon Bonaparte himself !!!

 

btw  slightly off topic and ever so un-pc,that description of yourself sounds "hot". God Bless America!

@Atlanticist911

LOL, you can be un-pc all you like!

As for Armor being part French, did you hear what Tom Tancredo said in a speech?

"America needs a strong national defense because our enemies are psychopaths and our allies are the French."

(As for Yitzak and Amsterdamsky being distant cousins... talk about killing two birds with one stone - pun intended)

Atlanticist reacts

"For example,tell Atlanticist that he is a European and wait for his reaction".

 

 

If Armor posed the same question to a Korean,Malaysian or Afghan,I doubt if any of them would deny that they are Asians.But neither do I believe that they would place Continent before Country.If they wouldn't,why should I do so just to make Armor happy?

@Armor

It seems a bit convenient for a European to insist only now that Americans are really Europeans when it comes down to it.  For centuries, French writers and other European observers have written in near unison about the un-European (and inferior) nature of American culture and of Americans in general (even insisting that the North American oxygen was suspect, and that North American wildlife were stunted and malformed as a result).  Nor do I remember the EU extending an invitation for membership to Canada or the United States, though Cyprus -- situated in Asia, but populated in part by Europeans -- qualifies as European.  Only when Europe is in need of American assistance do the European roots of North American culture appear strong; only then do the Europeans see us as family (but not, of course, as equals).  My greatest fear is that Hilary Clinton or Rudy Giuliani will fall for this crock again.  Let's hope she's as bitchy and he's as irritable as everyone says.

@Frank Lee

It doesn't bother me all that much that Americans insist they are different from old world Europeans taken as a undistinguishable bunch. Except when you carry that claim to an absurd extreme, by saying that you are no more similar to the Europeans than to your trade partners of the Pacific rim. That kind of silly rhetoric is then used as an argument for third-world immigration.

"It seems a bit convenient for a European to insist only now that Americans are really Europeans when it comes down to it."

Maybe you should go for a more philosophical approach, instead of playing tit for tat.

"Nor do I remember the EU extending an invitation for membership to Canada or the United States"

Now, I understand why Bush has extended an invitation for EU membership to Turkey: It was his revenge for not receiving an invitation himself!

"Only when Europe is in need of American assistance do the European roots of North American culture appear strong"

It is not Europe as a whole that usually calls you to the rescue. In the second world war, Germany was doing very well without your help. And in 1918, I sincerely wish the US army had stayed in America and france had received a lesson.

RE: Frank

It seems a bit convenient for a European to insist only now that Americans are really Europeans when it comes down to it. For centuries, French writers and other European observers have written in near unison about the un-European (and inferior) nature of American culture and of Americans in general (even insisting that the North American oxygen was suspect, and that North American wildlife were stunted and malformed as a result). Nor do I remember the EU extending an invitation for membership to Canada or the United States, though Cyprus -- situated in Asia, but populated in part by Europeans -- qualifies as European. Only when Europe is in need of American assistance do the European roots of North American culture appear strong; only then do the Europeans see us as family (but not, of course, as equals). My greatest fear is that Hilary Clinton or Rudy Giuliani will fall for this crock again. Let's hope she's as bitchy and he's as irritable as everyone says.

Agreed. For some reason, simply stating that Americans don't really care about Europe is seen as anti-European. As sovereign nations, European countries are entitled to do whatever suits their national interests, including contradicting US foreign policy. I just wish the US government would realize that they are no allies and stop spending my tax dollars on their defense.

RE: Armor

Armor writs, "[Y]ou should bear in mind that Europe is not a monolithic block."

 

That is immaterial if the non-hostile, non-rude, non-sanctimonious Europeans never dare to speak out.  The times I've been treated condescendingly by Europeans are innumerable.  The times other Europeans have intervened on my behalf to rebuke the condescending boobs?  It's never happened.

RE: altoids

Altoids writes:  "Within a generation, voters who have only visited Europe to see some castles and museums will wonder why we are paying for the defense of an ungrateful continent."

 

Some of us from the current generation have been wondering this our entire lives.  And let's be honest:  Europeans are worse than ungrateful.  In both their diplomacy and in casual conversation, they tend to be aggressively hostile and absurdly condescending.

let's be honest!

Frank Lee: "And let's be honest: Europeans are worse than ungrateful."

You remind me of Snoopy when he writes anti-cat stories.
"But let's be honest: all cats are stupid!"

@Armor

You're dishonest.

Get this through your thick skull:

Americans ARE NOT EUROPEANS. America is distinctly separate from Europe, and the divide continues to grow.

Never has this been proven more indisputably than in the current era.

If there was any connection between America and Europe, it is that they were Christian nations. Europe is no longer so, and America is clinging yet to its Christian heritage, though European-influenced Socialists are doing their best to eradicate that from American identity. That's the whole basis of the culture wars that rage in America today.

You know NOTHING about America or Americans if you labor under the false assumption that Americans are Europeans. It is a patently false and ignorant claim you make.

@atheling

" Americans ARE NOT EUROPEANS. "

Yes I know! And your parents are not your real parents.
There was a mistake at the hospital. In fact, you are an American princess.

By the way, the English and the Russians suffer from the same delusion.
They are proud to say that they are NOT European!

For example, tell Atlanticist that he is a European and wait for his reaction!

@Armor

Whatever.

You go on believing your silly delusions.

Apparently you read nothing of my long post of Jefferson quotes; after all, they might disprove your ridiculous assertions.

Jefferson

In response to Atheling.

I think it is convenient for Americans to use the word "European" to refer to people who live in Europe as opposed to people who live in America. (The English do something similar: they use the word European to refer to all Europeans except themselves.) But in the quotations you provide, I don't think Jefferson says that Americans do not belong to the European family. He merely says that he wants to stay away from European quarrels.

Jefferson quote: "They are nations of eternal war. All their energies are expended in the destruction of the labor, property and lives of their people."

I think what he means is that European governments and political systems leave much to be desired. But we know he was in favor of bringing more immigrants from Europe, and not from China or India.

--
Even though you claim to be different from Europeans who live on the old continent, you know that you will never find people more similar to you on any other continent. Even if Altoids likes Thai cuisine, he knows he wouldn't feel at home in Thailand.

And now, some other facts:

While the US and EU account for ~57% of GDP, the US accounts for roughly half of that. The northeast Asian countries (Japan, South Korea, China) easily account for over 20%, and does not include the growing nations of India, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand. Thus, the US-Asia trade bloc would easily exceed that of the US-EU.

 There is no question that the US and EU economies are currently more integrated, given their long history of bilateral trade. However, as the Asian nations begin to overtake the EU, integration will begin to shift eastward. This is most apparent in California, where the Silicon Valley economy is now fully integrated with Asian manufacturing and R&D. Europe is an afterthought. In some sectors of the American economy, Asian nations already have greater clout that Europe, such as technology, manufacturing, and raw materials.

American engagement with Asia grows stronger with each passing day, while Europe becomes increasingly irrelevant. Even culturally, the American imagination is being drawn from French and Italian food to Thai and Japanese, from Armani to Shisedo. American TV dramas feature more Asian locales, and fewer Continental ones.

To be blunt, Europe matters less and less to the American. With in a generation, voters who have only visited Europe to see some castles and museums will wonder why we are paying for the defense of an ungrateful continent.

@Altoids

Altoids: "Even culturally, the American imagination is being drawn from French and Italian food to Thai and Japanese, from Armani to Shisedo."

Are you glad that America is losing its European identity? You should realize that what makes America close to Europe is not our trade relations, but our common European ancestry. You ARE European.
The reason why America is getting less and less European has nothing to do with the kind of shirt you wear or the kind of food you enjoy. It has to do with mass immigration from the third world. How do you feel about that? As an American of European descent, are you proud to be displaced? Are you glad to know that more and more "Americans" will not only be defiant of Europe, but also of people like you and your children? If not, you should think of another way to vent your displeasure at Europe. Besides, you should bear in mind that Europe is not a monolithic block.

Now for the plot twist.

Armor: Are you glad that America is losing its European identity? You should realize that what makes America close to Europe is not our trade relations, but our common European ancestry. You ARE European.
The reason why America is getting less and less European has nothing to do with the kind of shirt you wear or the kind of food you enjoy. It has to do with mass immigration from the third world. How do you feel about that? As an American of European descent, are you proud to be displaced? Are you glad to know that more and more "Americans" will not only be defiant of Europe, but also of people like you and your children? If not, you should think of another way to vent your displeasure at Europe. Besides, you should bear in mind that Europe is not a monolithic block.

I think the sentiment expressed here is the source of most European condescension towards the US. To (some) Europeans, America is nothing more than a derivative of Europe, condemned to forever stay in the shadows of Mother Europa. An economic and political giant, but a intellectual and cultural infant. It never occurs to these Europeans that America could create a unique culture of its own, that one day Americans would also be culturally independent of Europe.

Despite all the cynicism, America really is a place that attempts to place all men as equals. There are many unresolved race and class issues, but America earnestly insists on this founding ideal, despite the many contradictions in implementation. America tries, fails, and tries again. The intellectual foundations of American government are unquestionably Western in origin. The US is the oldest surviving republic, and the last vestige of Enlightenment virtues. Tocqueville was right to assert American exceptionalism.

America has changed, and so has Europe. America has absorbed enormous amounts of land and immigrants, importing language and culture. Europe has changed, renouncing Christianity, and embracing a post-modern, supra-national secular bureaucracy. Why pretend that we are the same? The US and Europe are little more than polite strangers.

Now for the plot twist. I'm not of European descent. I am of Chinese ancestry, born in the American Midwest (redneck country), currently attending graduate school in Boston. I've worked in San Jose and Tokyo. At my university, more people study Chinese than French. I vote. Welcome to the future.

@altoids

Another twist to the plot: I'm half Asian myself. Half Anglo, half Asian, and all American.

What do you think of Bobby Jindal's victory as the governor of Louisiana? Of Indian descent, convert to Christianity, and a splendid example of the American dream fulfilled if you live according to American values of hard work, love of democracy and freedom.

That ought to put Armor's panties in a wad.

@Armor

Europe is lost.

America has no interest with Europe because Europe is not the Europe of 100 years (or even 50 years) ago.

America is NOT European, and never has been.

"Our connection with Europe is less political than commercial." --Thomas Jefferson to C. W. F. Dumas, 1791. ME 8:198

"I have ever deemed it fundamental for the United States never to take active part in the quarrels of Europe. Their political interests are entirely distinct from ours. Their mutual jealousies, their balance of power, their complicated alliances, their forms and principles of government, are all foreign to us. They are nations of eternal war. All their energies are expended in the destruction of the labor, property and lives of their people." --Thomas Jefferson to James Monroe, 1823. ME: 15:436

"Nothing is so important as that America shall separate herself from the systems of Europe, and establish one of her own. Our circumstances, our pursuits, our interests, are distinct. The principles of our policy should be so also. All entanglements with that quarter of the globe should be avoided if we mean that peace and justice shall be the polar stars of the American societies." --Thomas Jefferson to J. Correa de Serra, 1820. ME 15:285

"Our nation has wisely avoided entangling itself in the system of European interests, has taken no side between its rival powers, attached itself to none of its ever-changing confederacies." --Thomas Jefferson to Baltimore Baptists, 1808. ME 16:318

"To take part in [the European] conflicts would be to divert our energies from creation to destruction. Our commerce is so valuable to them that they will be glad to purchase it when the only price we ask is to do us justice. I believe we have in our hands the means of peaceable coercion, and that the moment they see our government so united as that they can make use of it, they will for their own interest be disposed to do us justice. In this way [we] shall not be obliged by any treaty of confederation to go to war for injuries done to others." --Thomas Jefferson to George Logan, 1801.

"Our first and fundamental maxim should be never to entangle ourselves in the broils of Europe. Our second, never to suffer Europe to intermeddle with cis-Atlantic affairs. America, North and South, has a set of interests distinct from those of Europe and peculiarly her own. She should therefore have a system of her own, separate and apart from that of Europe. While the last is laboring to become the domicile of despotism, our endeavor should surely be to make our hemisphere that of freedom." --Thomas Jefferson to James Monroe, 1823. ME 15:477

"[Our] object [in this hemisphere] is to introduce and establish the American system, of keeping out of our land all foreign powers, of never permitting those of Europe to intermeddle with the affairs of our nations." --Thomas Jefferson to James Monroe, 1823. ME 15:478

"The European nations constitute a separate division of the globe; their localities make them part of a distinct system; they have a set of interests of their own in which it is our business never to engage ourselves. America has a hemisphere to itself. It must have its separate system of interest, which must not be subordinated to those of Europe. The insulated state in which nature has placed the American continent should so far avail it that no spark of war kindled in the other quarters of the globe should be wafted across the wide oceans which separate us from them." --Thomas Jefferson to Alexander von Humboldt, 1813. ME 14:22

"froggyland"

"Personally,I would rather live under Russian occupation than under french occupation...Why is it worse for Russia to occupy Karelia than for froggyland to occupy Brittany?"

 

Very adult,very mature,very Armor!

@Armor

"Frank Lee is right".Fine,so my 'tangent' managed to help elicit an adult response from you.It worked.(I notice you didn't bother to pass comment on my original post  re: the Steyn quote.I wonder why?).

 

A counter-suggestion: Try keeping your nose out of US foreign and domestic affairs and British foreign and domestic affairs and we'll all start taking you more seriously.

 

btw

 

That would be powerful European armies,NOT army,got it?

@Armor

Before you are allowed to go off at another tangent,are we to assume that you are satisfied and agree with Frank Lee's answer to your original question,"against whom?"

Atlanticist goes off at another tangent

What about what you wrote a little earlier? --> " if the worst comes to the worst,we could always place our trust in a strong,independent Brittany to save us from this future nightmare."

What kind of a dumb tangent was that? Don't you understand we are trying to have a serious, adult conversation? Please behave yourself.

" are we to assume that you are satisfied and agree "

Frank Lee is right to say that the USA should not pay for our defense.
But it doesn't make sense to have a strong European army at a time when our governments organize mass immigration. The same is true of the USA. Instead of playing with Iraq, they should guard their border with Mexico.

--
a suggestion: If we create a powerful European army and we look for an excuse to use it, and no one is attacking us, I think we could use it to create a free independent (and democratic!) Kurdistan. (We would only need to attack Turkey, Iraq and Iran).

trade

The role of America in Europe's recovery from WWII notwithstanding, trade between the United States and the European Union thrives today not because of NATO or America's maintaining responsibility for Europe's security, but regardless of NATO and America's maintaining responsibility for Europe's security.  By all means, let's keep trade strong, and let's keep cooperation on anti-terrorism measures strong as well.  The sharing of information about terrorists is important, but its importance does not justify the infantalization of bratty Europeans under the care of an American babysitter.

And then now, the facts:

The EU and the US are each other's main trading partners. When the world’s two largest economies account for a combined total of 57% of world GDP, there is much to gain from more trade and investment and less barriers between them.

The EU and US are responsible together for about two fifths of world trade. Trade flows across the Atlantic are running at around €1.7 billion a day. In the year 2003, the total amount of two-way investment was over €1.5 trillion, composed of €731 billion of EU Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the US and around €772 billion of US FDI in Europe. The overall "transatlantic workforce" is estimated at 12 to 14 million, of which roughly half are Americans who owe their jobs directly or indirectly to EU companies. In the year 2005, exports of EU goods to the US amounted to €250 billion, while imports from the US amounted to €234 billion. Concerning trade in services, EU exports to the US amounted to €108.6 billion in 2004 while EU imports from the US amounted to €93.0 billion.

The two economies are interdependent to a high degree. Close to a quarter of all EU-US trade consists of transactions within firms based on their investments on either side of the Atlantic. The transatlantic relationship defines the shape of the global economy as a whole as either the EU or the US is also the largest trade and investment partner for almost all other countries.

Being the largest players in global trade, the EU and the US are committed to cooperate both politically and economically, be it on bilateral issues or in the multilateral framework of the World Trade Organisation (WTO). Several trade-related disputes which regularly hit the headlines in reality only impact of some 2% of EU-US trade.

@USAntigoon

If you are living in a relatively might climate, and your garden is large enough, so that you can grow your own vegetables the year round, and keep a cow and some pigs; and provided you haven’t seen much of anything else of the world anyway; then the collapse of Europe may pass relatively unnoticed to you. For all the other Americans though it will probably have some dear consequences in terms of employment and wealth.
This doesn’t mean I don’t agree with Kern. Europe should do something to bolster its defense. But let’s not forget that a few years ago; when some European leaders tried to create a European army, they were fiercely countered by the Bush administration and utltra rightists like the Brussels Journal adepts. So don’t start whining now.

@peter vanderheyden

Indeed I have a large "garden" etc... and frankly I don't care anymore about Europe..I grew up in Belgium, have seen it all..
You are very blind to what is going on in Europe and Belgium.. European defense.. don't let me laugh..With people like Flahaut .. hahaha

Re: against whom?

Against whoever it is that keeps NATO in existence:  1) the 2010s equivalent of the Serb leaders who sent waves of immigrants into Western Europe:  probably a militant Turkish/Ukrainian/North African/fill-in-your-candidate-here regime whose war floods Europe with new refugees; or 2) a Russian leader who decides that Karelia isn't enough:  he wants all of Finland and the Baltic countries back while he's at it; or 3) internal Muslim separatists (yes, it seems impossible that the Europeans could imagine that America can solve that problem for them, but don't underestimate their powers of imagination); or 4) Germany back in ape-shit crazy mode (ironically, this is not a threat that Americans take seriously, but it seems to be something Europeans still fear, not least of all the Germans themselves); or 5) we just don't know.

muslim separatists in Europe

Submitted by Frank Lee : " or 3) internal Muslim separatists "

I'm in favor of sending everyone back to Africa (we don't need an army to do that). But if we would rather keep bringing more of them, it is only natural that at some point, in places where they have become a majority, they would ask for political independence. If we don't want that to happen, we should send them back home. It would be incoherent to replace Europeans with third worlders, and then, to insist that they have to fly European flags in towns and cities where no white person remains.

The same goes for Texas and Southern California.

" 2) a Russian leader who decides that Karelia isn't enough: he wants all of Finland and the Baltic countries back while he's at it;"

Personally, I would rather live under Russian occupation than under french occupation. After 500 years, it would be a pleasant change of occupation. Why is it worse for Russia to occupy Karelia than for froggyland to occupy Brittany?

Anyway, it is absurd to mention the risk of a Russian occupation at a time when western governments are quickly replacing their indigenous citizenry with third-worlders.

RE Frank Lee

Mr. Lee, as we say in America, "Amen, Brother". The reason that there has not been another war in Europe is the American military presence. Since the EU has been virulently anti-US, the US should leave NATO and Europe to its fate. The lessons from the 1930's regarding appeasement have not been learned (e.g. the current situation with Iran). Countries such as Brazil, India and China are where the future is, not Europe.

one more generation....

and I think the large scale US presence in Europe will end. The current group of US leaders and thinkers are dominated by memories of the cold war and even WWII.

In another generation three things will happen.
-these people will die off, replaced by policymakers and leaders who mostly remember 9/11 and the Arabian peninsula wars, in which Europe was not only not an ally, but rather an enabler for the enemy

-another 30 years of institutionalized irrational hatred of the US by the European elites, brainwashed onto the commoners by the leftist media, will increasingly alienate even the most hard-core American proponents of European/US ties. Britain, America's only true ally in Europe, will lose its foreign policy independence to the EU. The EU will become more powerful and will be unable to restrain itself from US envy/hate.

-America will no longer be able to spend the money as its economy comes under increasing pressure. Forced to choose between investing in the East vs keeping its investment in Europe, it will choose the East. Europes economic decline due to a noncompetitive economy combined with the increasing economic power of Asia will make the decision even easier.

I for one, will feel a certain schauenfreude when this happens, and Europe is abandoned to its own devices. Let them eat Borscht or Kebabs. Let the Eurocrats stew in their own self righteous juices.
I will not shed a tear the day I see the anarchist or Muslim mobs string up their first lefty journalist or EU parliament member.

why give them an Army?

The EU bureaucracy is dead set against Western values and Christianity. Why give them an army to effect their fantasies? Even if we can see that the whole project is doomed from the start, so was Communism, who managed a fair amount of mayhem while their fantasy went nowhere. An army requires an immediate supply of young people, why wake up the secularists from their lotus dreams of power without children?

An army would just be manned by Muslim youth.

US return to political isolationism

If the US and its people reach the consensus that the intervention in Iraq, Iran (soon), and Afghanistan were a complete failure,and leave in Vietnam-like humiliation, it is entirely likely that the US will turn inward as it has before, and concentrate on economic success and self-improvement rather than being the world's policeman.

America will largely abandon the Middle East to its own insanity, and Europe to its own hypocrisy.

Never in the last century has the US seemed so unalike Europe in it thinking and outlook. The remarkable thing is that the US is still open to self criticism and dissent from within. Europe is heading towards totalitarianism and elimination of dissent. This is incredibly unhealthy. No matter the current day stresses, the future prospects for the US look much brighter to me than those of Europe. The US has the advantage on the key fundamentals of demographics and economic / political ideology.

To what extent a brain drain of Europeans, fleeing their deteriorating continent, to the greener pastures across the ocean will feed into this phenomenon is uncertain. I suspect it will not be a huge factor.

It strikes me as very unlikely that Americans will be interested in investing any more blood and treasure in Europe while there are far greener pastures across the Pacific. Mending fences in South America is also a rational long-term goal for a smart administration, while Europe seems like a lost cause heading in the wrong direction.

Re: against whom? #3

THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA !!!

 

Well,to hear some Europeans talk,they are hell bent on global domination so from that twisted perspective,why not?

Re:against whom?

Your question is redundant.

 

"Permanence is the illusion of every age.In 1913,no one thought the Russian,German and Turkish empires would be gone within half a decade..."

(Excerpted from,"It's the Demography,Stupid",by Mark Steyn).

The question,therefore,isn't "whom" but rather "when" the threat comes,as come it surely must,will Europe be capable of defending itself? Without the active support of the United States of America,I don't believe it has the necessary wherewithal to do so.

postmodern or postmortem?

"Europeans are hoping a new European Union treaty will help raise their profile in international affairs. But unless European elites bring their postmodern fantasies about the illegitimacy of military “hard power” into line with the way the rest of the world interprets reality, Europe is unlikely to have much of a global voice at all."

Is that postmodern fantasies or postmortem fantasies?

I pray this isn't true

"The United States will continue to be the main guarantor of European security for well into the foreseeable future," writes Mr. Kern.

Let's please not forget that the United States is a sovereign nation with its own interests to consider.  It is not a guarantor of security for nations willing themselves into dhimmitude, especially not nations with shrinking economic might relative to that of China and India.  My fondest wish is that the United States never again lift a finger to guarantee European security.  If other Americans share my views, the Europeans may have no choice but to take responsibility for their own security.  There's a novel idea:  wealthy, educated adults assuming responsibility.

against whom?

Frank Lee: "If other Americans share my views, the Europeans may have no choice but to take responsibility for their own security."

against whom?

Lost me here:

Lost me here:

 

"Three years of European soft power diplomacy has not persuaded Iran to abandon what Europeans admit is a clandestine nuclear-weapons program. "

 

The Economist and other analysts I have read don't believe for a second Iran has a clandestine nuclear-weapons program.  The problem is that a civilian program would quickly allow them to create a nuclear-weapons program after they master the fuel cycle.  The difference is important because Iran is sqeaky clean with regards to the NPT and international law.

E.U.'S military might .

With the exception of the U.K. the rest of Europe's countries are cowards when it comes to defending any ones interests in a military sense . The shameful way most of Europe behaves in Iraq and Afghanistan as well as other world theatres is well known , they criticise the U.S. but they hide behind the U.S.'s skirts .